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Charting the Course

The value of active portfolio management becomes evident when we invest our own money in the same strategy as yours.

Founder's Portfolio

2008 - 2024

To give you an insight into the performance of our expertise over the past decade, we present Chinmay's (Founder) portfolio as a testament to his 15 years of experience in the wealth management industry.

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6.42%

Portfolio Change

10.65%

  • Shifting geopolitical dynamics are introducing potential strain to the market. 

  • There is growing overvaluation in Indian stocks, particularly in the mid-cap & small-cap segments

  • Rebalancing for improved resilience, we focus on high-quality multi caps

  • Incorporating hybrid instruments & derivatives like long-short strategy to capitalise on potential downturns & add flexibility to the folio.

Market Mood
  • The market appears bullish but is highly sensitive to risks, which could lead to sharp declines.

  • Pessimistic market narratives are emerging, amplifying risk of significant sell-offs during periods of heightened uncertainty.

Portfolio Narative

Portfolio Narrative

Portfolio Narrative
 

As the folio reflects growth driven by staggering optimism in the market, we realise the risks of market overvaluation & rising conflicts in West Asia, which could lead to capital erosion without proper precautions. For this, we've adopted a balanced strategy that incorporates a selective derivative approach, enabling us to capitalise on long-term opportunities while hedging against near-term risks, ensuring folios are well-prepared for changing market conditions.

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6.45%

Portfolio change

8.43%

  • BJP won the 2024 elections, with the rise of a new coalition govt.

  • BSE Sensex & NSE Nifty continue to hit record highs

  • Growing anticipation of new govt's upcoming budget & its policy directions.

  • Selective allocation to sectors driving current Indian market cycle: Indian Pharma, Manufacturing, and Consumption.

  • Aims to capture opportunities, while managing risks in an overheated market.

Market Mood
  • Bullish momentum remains strong, despite potential foreign institutional investor (FII) sell-off

  • Extreme optimism is pushing valuations even higher, contributing to elevated market risks.

With the election discourse taking center stage, market volatility was seen in anticipation of the new govt formation & potential risks associated with current policies driving growth. However, the majority win has led to the emergence of a new coalition govt, which is expected to positively impact India's growth story.

 

Yet, this also brings forth new challenges for the Indian market, including the persistent optimism that currently resides within it.

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3.22%

Portfolio change

9.86%

  • Q4: Global markets stagnated, India stood out.

  • Regulatory actions: SEBI & RBI targeted overvaluation & credit lending, emphasizing India's reliance on solid fundamentals.

  • Pick in commercial real estate demand

  • Reduced small & mid cap exposure for risk management. Continuing SIPs for long-term growth.

  • Capitalizing on interest rate cycle with medium-term high-yield debt.

  • Invested in quality CRE funds.

  • The market surged in the first half on optimism for India's 2024 election year, driven by policy expectations and stable inflation. But regulatory changes later caused a shift to pessimism.

  • Growing startup culture and improved business environment driving commercial real estate demand

With the interim budget allocation and proposed growth plan for India, there has been a surge in market optimism during the first half of the quarter. Therefore, in light of policy consistency, we are bullish on Indian growth.

However, to safeguard against the volatility stemming from upcoming elections and regulatory changes, we have allocated a significant portion to debt, offering downside protection while leveraging market upturns.

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11.7%

Portfolio change

15.8%

  • India's stock market ranks 4th globally.

  • Growing at 15% annually, outpacing the global average of 9.32%.

  • In November, 58 companies raised ₹53 crore, boosting India's market value by $50 billion.​

  • Rebalancing gains to large-cap-biased multi-cap strategies.

  • Allocating to consumption & infra funds for Capex trend.

  • Market surge fueled by optimism for India's 2024 election year with Anticipated policy consistency, Growing consumption metrics, Increased domestic participation & Stable inflation rates.

Given the upcoming elections and potential market volatility, we're being cautious. Our preference is for hybrid funds, especially those focusing on large-cap investments. These funds have good profit potential and typically hold up well during volatile times, thanks to strong industrial fundamentals.

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2.1%

Portfolio change

5.8%

  • Despite short term volatility, market still had a positive outperformance

  • India's Q2 2023 GDP Surges at 7.8% on Robust Consumption & FII Investments.

  • The volatility pertained globally over renewed weakness in the Chinese real estate sector.

  • Increasing allocation towards hybrid structures to take advantage of growth opportunities while maintaining a secure position through bonds.

  • Despite the volatility experienced throughout the quarter, the prevailing sentiment has remained optimistic. However, as we approach the end of September, concerns on volatility are becoming more prominent.

While it's true that the markets have performed quite decently over the last quarter, it's also worth noting that this might not be a trend that continues indefinitely.  It might be a good idea to prepare for a potentially higher market volatility as we approach the 2024 elections.

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10.29%

Portfolio change

14.35%

  • Nifty at all-time highs on strong FII inflows.

  • RBI adopts rate hike stance amid easing inflation.

  • Increased market demand, robust corporate earnings, strong banking system, & govt. capex boost market sentiment, attracting FIIs

  • Increased equity allocation to seize market highs and minimized debt to capitalize on potential equity growth

  • The market is optimistic due to improving macroeconomic indicators, stable geopolitical conditions, reduced inflation, and stable global interest rates.

In a market rally, avoid impulsive decisions. Prioritize quality by seeking companies with strong fundamentals, solid earnings growth, and resilience to market downturns. Notably, such a rally has been constantly observed with an approaching general election, fueled by increased capital spending

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5.32%

Portfolio change

7.16%

  • Indian & developed equity markets rose sharply.

  • Central bank inflation policies impact global equities.

  • Domestic demand recovered to/pre-COVID levels.

  • Continuing with the position composition.

  • Domestic demand surpasses pre-COVID levels.

  • India appears more economically stable.

A balanced approach to the portfolio with a focus on both equity and debt investments could be the key to weathering any potential volatility in the markets while still positioning for long-term growth.

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9.26%

Portfolio change

11.01%

  • FII flows turned positive since Sep-21.

  • RBI eased rules to boost forex inflows, allowing easier foreign investment in Indian debt.

  • Market participants are now fearing a possibility of a US recession but India is still in a good space.

  • Increasing position to debt as recession fears continues.

With the possibility of a US recession, it's a good idea to keep your portfolio balanced. Try combining high-growth and defensive stocks to protect against any ripple effects on global markets, including India.

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- 7.12%

Portfolio change

-5.59%

  • US recession fears & rising rates weakened markets.

  • Resulted into huge FII outfolow

  • Global growth is expected to moderate in 2022

  •  Adding to debt. selling off equities as recession fears.

  • Heightened uncertainty due to inflation & global central banks raising interest rates to tame it.

It appears that the market is currently experiencing a period of heightened uncertainty. focusing on defensive stocks that are less sensitive to macroeconomic risks.

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- 7.12%

Portfolio change

-7.83%

  • Europe's biggest attack since WWII.

  • Inflation fears, growth derailment.

  • Commodity price surge, supply chain disruption.

  • Continuing with the position composition. No changes due to uncertainty

  • Equity markets tend to overreact to adverse geopolitical events due to the uncertainty factor.

Equity markets tend to overreact due to the uncertainty factor due to fear of higher inflation and the potential for economic growth derailment.

2020-21
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7.92%

Portfolio change

10.81%

  • Strong corporate earnings despite the 2nd wave.

  • Healthy macro data indicating economic recovery

  • FPI flows turn positive after 10 months of selling

  • Optimism on the back of economic recovery from COVID disruption

  • Continuing with the position composition. Rebalancing equities with growth opportunities.

The market's feeling optimistic with the economic recovery from COVID-19 disruptions. Serving a great time to review & adjust portfolio to seize potential upside while minimizing risks

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14.57%

Portfolio change

16.47%

  • Reopening of economies post the lockdown

  • Economy's Reopening Fuels Increased Demand

  • Rise in FII & DII inflows

  • Increasing allocation in equity and rebalancing towards the non cyclical industry.

Market Mood
  • Market is optimistic as country controls case-fatality ratio and improves recovery rates.

In the short term, we are more positive on sectors that demonstrate resilience in revenue and earnings. Sectors such as consumer goods, Healthcare and Telecom are expected to perform well.

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33.17%

Portfolio change

32.01%

  • 24 March 2020: 21-Day Lockdown to Combat Virus

  • Sharp corrections in various asset classes ob

  • US worst affected, followed by Italy and Spain.

  • Held on to equity even do 30% value was wiped off.

Market Mood
  • Panic all around

  • Disrupted supply chain

In India, the govt. took action by announcing a 21-day lockdown to control the virus spread. People are now being cautious and adopting a wait-and-watch approach before making big investment decisions.

2019-20
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10.65%

Portfolio change

10.65%

  • Corporate tax slashed to 22% for domestic firms.

  • Surcharge on equity capital gains lifted for all

  • Increase in FII inflows.

  • Increased equity due to positive domestics factors.

Market Mood
  • Equity market sentiments continued to remain in the positive territory led by global cues. 

Should consider adding quality stocks to portfolio that have potential for long-term growth. Should also keep a close eye on global cues & ensure portfolio is well-diversified to withstand any potential risks

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7.21%

Portfolio change

9.25%

  • Rupee gained 2.3% against the US dollar

  • Strong FII buy - Invested over US$ 10 billion in the Indian market.

  • No change in current position and reviewing for any potential risks

Market Mood
  • Positive momentum and optimism in equity market

 I believe as an investors we should remain focussed on the opportunity that is offered by India's growth story. Continuing the SIP would be beneficial for a long-term investor in the current environment.

2018-19
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-12.08%

Portfolio change

- 10.58%

  • IL& FS crisis led to liquidity crisis in NBFC

  • FIIs turned net sellers due to rising FED rates.

  • Global issue, US china trade war escalated

  • Moving out from banking and finance sector and increasing holdings in commodities to mitigate volatility.

Market Mood
  • Market space dented by concerns of liquidy issues in the NBFC space

Concerns of liquidity issues in the NBFC space dented the market space, making it a challenging month for investors. The factors to closely track in the near to medium term would be corporate earnings, RBI’s policy actions.

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-9.47%

Portfolio change

-12.58%

  • 10% LTCG tax on equities in Union Budget.

  • Tariffs on Chinese imports in US-China Trade War.

  • Faster interest rate hikes by Federal Reserve.

  • Holding on the current positions as these are short term fluctuations.

Market Mood
  • Fraud at top Public Sector Bank adversely affects market sentiment.

The introduction of a 10% LTCG Tax on equities will impact equity investment returns. Additionally, India's stock market performance has closely mirrored the global weak trends.

2017-18
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5.10%

Portfolio change

7.09%

  • Equity markets recorded fresh highs

  • GST implemented from July 1st

  • FII and DII strong buy

  • Continued adding equities as positive indicators continue to come in.

Market Mood
  • Large companies will handle GST better; smaller ones may face initial hurdles.

GST was positive for the economy, but smaller firms and the unorganized sector faced initial hurdles. Overall, the outlook remained positive.

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9.11%

Portfolio change

11.95%

  • Strong rebound fueled by domestic & global markets

  • Positive US economic data indicators.

  • Demonetization impact on companies better than feared.

  • Started accumulating equity after the downfall.

Market Mood
  • Demonetization's lack of major negative surprises boosted investor sentiment, with markets now trading at pre-demonetization levels.

Equity markets bounced back in March on positive global cues. Consider investing in less-affected sectors like Pharma, Energy, and Telecommunication.

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Demonetization a surprise!

-7.32%

Portfolio change

-5.69%

  • Indian government's surprise demonetization of INR 500 & 1000 rupee notes.

  • RBI imposed cash withdrawal & conversion restrictions until December 30, 2016.

  • Held on to the current composition. Liquidity would impact equity markets.

Market Mood
  • Panic all around

  • Liquidity crisis

Govt.'s focus on promoting digital payments &  reducing cash reliance has potential long-term benefits but may cause short-term issues due to mismanagement & a liquidity crisis.

2016-17
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New Year fails to remove gloom

-11.96%

Portfolio change

-13.31

  • US Fed raises interest rate after nine years, causing volatility.

  • FII sell-off increases amid global economic slowdown and commodity price meltdown.

  • Further reduced position in volatile equities and added more in debt. 

Market Mood
  • Gloomy all around in the global market

Investing in fixed-income bonds can offer a hedge against market volatility, which may arise due to significant changes in global market dynamics & potentially impact the Indian market.

2015-16
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Concerns over slowing global growth

-8.40%

Portfolio change

-10.12%

  • China Crisis: Global currency market volatility, slowing growth, and Yuan devaluation.

  • Crude oil prices down with concerns over weak demand amid China's slowdown.

  • Booked some losses and reinvested in gold.

Market Mood
  • Weak sentiment across markets due to weak global outlook

Worries about China's economic slowdown spurred currency market instability. Investors eye safe-haven assets like gold for stability during economic turmoil

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Equities ushered in 2015 on a new high

8.01%

Portfolio change

10.27%

  • RBI cuts the interest rate by 25bps

  • Global liquidity improves with ECB's Quantitative Easing program.

  • Planning minor rebalancing and profit booking to maintain desired asset allocation & capitalize on portfolio gains.

Market Mood
  • Evolving favourable liquidity scenario domestically & globally

  • Positive trigger for the domestic markets

In January 2015, Indian equities surged due to the ECB's QE announcement, lower global oil prices, and an unexpected RBI interest rate cut.

2014-15
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Election verdict boosts equities' rally

Portfolio change

8.42%

10.63%

  • BJP won the election, absolute majority

  • Strong FII flows continued

  • Increasing my equity holdings as the stock market will continue to perform well in the near future,

Market Mood
  • Expectations from the Narendra Modi led government is likely to be high

Strong election verdict sustains equity optimism, but stock prices await ground-level initiatives from the new govt.

2013-14

It appears that the market is currently experiencing a period of heightened uncertainty. focusing on defensive stocks that are less sensitive to macroeconomic risks.

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Equity market at a historical high

7.02%

Portfolio change

9.90%

  • Ease in inflation

  • Strong FII buys

  • Held on to the current composition with minor rebalancing and profit booking.

Market Mood
  • Renewed optimism in the equity market

Stock market surged on anticipation of a stable, pro-reform government post-elections.

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Currency crisis deepens

-5.28%

Portfolio change

-8.02%

  • Increase in Infaltion (6.1% in August 2013, from 5.79% in July 2013)

  • Rupee depriciation

  • Maintaining current positions with exposure in debt investments.

Market Mood
  • Currency woes continued to hit equity sentiments adversely

Negative sentiment due to depreciating Rupee and rising inflation; adopting a defensive investment strategy.

2012-13
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Equity market came under selloff pressure

-5.76%

Portfolio change

-7.21%

  • Q3 GDP growth came at 4.5%, close to lowest in 10 years

  • RBI expected to cut rates

  • Keeping the market volatility in mind, increasing positions in debt. 

Market Mood
  • Global & domestic factors affected investors’ confidence at large

Short-term volatility, but long-term investors seek value in selected stocks and sectors. Consider global and domestic factors in investment decisions.

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Expected govt. action domestic policy

7.49%

Portfolio change

10.53%

  • Speculation on govt. reforms & potential foreign investments boosted market sentiments.

  • Foreign inflows surged post Morgan Stanley's India upgrade.

  • No changes considering current market scenario.

Market Mood
  • Investor sentiments improve, boosting market.

  • Macro indicators continue to send mixed signals - elevated inflation, volatile Rupee, & stagnant industrial production.

Closely monitoring the macroeconomic indicators to make informed investment decisions.

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Rupee levels, a very big concern

-7.96%

Portfolio change

-9.87%

  • Depriciation of rupee, FII sale

  • Proposed tax on cross-border transactions involving Indian assets.

Market Mood
  • Industrial output contracts, 9-year low GDP growth.

  • Growth shocker rattles equity markets

  • No changes considering current market scenario.

Macroeconomics looks challenging which negatively impacted market sentiment. Still optimistic in long term.

2011-12
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European Banking Crisis Easing.

11.19%

Portfolio change

16.76%

  • Expectations of easing of interest rates in emerging economies like China, India etc

  • Improve in US Economic data

  • Strong FII inflows drive top performance, in Jan'12

  • Started accumulating equity investments, as the market sentiments looked quite robust.

Market Mood
  • Indian equity markets had a phenomenal start in 2012, making it the best January in 18 years for equity investors

Equity witnessed a strong rally in the Indian market, this momentum is expected to continue as India remained an attractive destination for investors given its robust economic growth.

2010-11

Indian markets have rallied alongside global markets. A mix of large-cap and mid-cap Indian companies across sectors such as technology, healthcare, and consumer discretionary have shown strong growth potential.

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​2G scam and European debt crisis

-19.81%

Portfolio change

-20.01%

  • Rising inflation and RBI's rate hike

  • Rupee depreciation

  • Rebalanced with debt and commodity investments. Holding on the equity positions.

Market Mood
  • Rising interest rates and high commodity prices remain a challenge

  • On the political front, corruption charges continue to hamster govt. decision making

Investing in fundamentally strong companies that are less affected by external factors. High commodity prices and rising interest rates made debt instruments attractive.

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Significant Surge in FII Cash Inflow

11.20%

Portfolio change

13.00%

  • - Better than expected economic data
    - Strong fund flows into emerging markets in general and India in particular

  • Rebalancing from equity to debt.

Market Mood
  • - India remains few markets where growth is visible and the quality of companies is high.

Increasing exposure to sectors that are expected to benefit from the ongoing economic recovery. It is important to maintain a long-term perspective and remain focused on their investment objectives

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Recovery of market

11.85%

Portfolio change

8.60%

  • Global economy recovery

Market Mood
  • Lost upside gains by not holding position and shifting to early in debt.

  • Supported by signs of a recovering global economy, global market rallied.

Portfolio Narrative
Portfolio Narrative

Indian markets have rallied alongside global markets. A mix of large-cap and mid-cap Indian companies across sectors such as technology, healthcare, and consumer discretionary have shown strong growth potential.

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Satyam Scam

-14.19%

Portfolio change

-23.20%

  • Mid caps bore the brunt of the damage due to a higher perceived risk of corporate governance.
    RBI cut the repo and reverse-repo by 50bps

  • Mid cap stock prices have decreased, but continuing with the holdings. Decreasing stake in debt

Market Mood
  • Suspicion on the overall standard of corporate governance in India.

It includes companies with strong governance practices. Managing the investments wisely in the current unpredictable market.

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Global Financial Crisis

-33.76%

Portfolio change

-40.50%

  • Subprime mortgage crisis - major crisis in the US financial system

  • India lost 50% of market cap in a single year

Market Mood
  • Equities lost 50% of value overnight. Held on to equities as sunk costs. Added more to Debt. Wrong time to add to debt.

  • Fear has set across global market

  • Companies were finding it difficult to survive

  • Challenging time with limited visibility of future

Equities Exuberance, last year had given 45% returns, global upbeat mood. Following the herd.

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